United States

  • U.S. markets are closed today for Independence Day observance.
  • President Biden reaffirmed his candidacy in the presidential race, despite some internal party skepticism following a debate that questioned his readiness and capabilities.

Global Macro

  • Federal Reserve meeting minutes reveal signs of easing inflation, though the FOMC seeks more evidence of a consistent decline before considering rate cuts.
  • The FOMC has kept the key policy rate between 5.25% and 5.50%, viewing rate cuts as premature until more data confirm steady inflation reduction.
  • Germany faces economic challenges, with factory orders declining for the fifth straight month.

International Relations

  • Tensions in the Middle East are high, with an Israeli strike killing a Hezbollah commander, leading to Hezbollah launching over 200 rockets into Israel.
  • In Europe, Italy's Prime Minister may soon visit China, signaling a cautious diplomatic approach between the countries.
  • In Gaza, Hamas is encountering rising public dissatisfaction as ongoing conflicts continue to erode support among locals.

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